2024 Q1 on orange background

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state of the marketplace 2024 q1

SEPTEMBER 2024


The main highlights of the most recent State of the Marketplace


State of the Marketplace is a quarterly report, offering a comprehensive analysis of the dynamic landscape within the beverage industry. Want to learn more? Check out our State of the Marketplace article that walks through the benefits and impact.


the big picture of the market

In 2024, Q1 showed a decline that reflected the decrease in consumer and government spending. However, increases in consumer spending on services was offset by a decline in goods spending.

Consumer spending on services was led by:

  • healthcare
  • financial services
  • insurance

Goods spending may have be been lower, but was led by:

  • gasoline
  • other energy goods

It is important to note that increased government spending reflected increases in compensation for state and local government employees, primarily.


A bar chart showing Quarterly Change in Real GDP. See screen reader friendly version of page for details.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis


the ups and downs of consumer ratings

As consumer sentiment spiked again in Q1, consumer confidence saw a downward turn; consumer sentiment has been improving, but Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) reveals consumers may be less optimistic about the future.


Two boxes with charts displaying Consumer Sentiment and Consumer Confidence Index® (CCI). See screen reader friendly version of page for details.

Source: FRED – Bureau of Labor Statistics, Bureau of Economic Analysis The Conference Board; NBER


NARTD in retail

Total NARTD (non-alcoholic ready-to-drink) is up 1.6% in Retail Dollars in Q1, driven by strong growth in Energy, Sparkling Soft Drinks (SSD), and Value Added Dairy (VAD).


Chart reflecting the Retail Dollars and Retail Dollars % Change vs Last Year. See screen reader friendly version of page for details.

Source: NielsenIQ Total US AMC YTD as of W/E 4/6/24. Share shown for manufacturers (does not include System Brands)


Channel develop-ments

Large Store & Club and Small Store channels continue to contribute an outsized share of growth. Convenience Retail (CR) had the slowest growth of 0.4%


Line chart showing the NARTD Value % Growth by Channel. From 2022 to Q1 2024, all channels (Mass, Value, Grocery & Convenience Retail) had slower growth, with Convenience Retail having the slowest growth (0.4%). 

Source: NielsenIQ Total US AMC; NARTD Comp Set (Excludes Conventional Dairy and Bulk Water)  W/E 3/30/24


Foodservice declines

Meanwhile, Foodservice traffic in Q1 was down nearly 2% vs a year ago, driven by traffic decline at major chains.


Bar chart showing Q1 Foodservice Traffic in the Past 5 Years. See screen reader friendly version of page for details.

Source: NPD CREST for Commercial Restaurants Only (Excludes Retail Foodservice, Excludes Starbucks); Beverages excludes alcohol, tap water, hot tea, hot chocolate, smoothies, and shakes/malts/floats

By evaluating the trends of yesterday, we
can see how they will impact today.

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